Well that’s the end of that then

The National Assembly for Wales packed its bags and went canvassing last night. At least those seeking re-election did. The others who are standing down in May technically ceased to be representatives as of today, or so we understand.

This is first time since it was formed that the Assembly has thought it necessary to have a pre-election dissolution. Such formality has prompted some observers to ponder whether the ‘institution’ might not be taking itself just a little too seriously. Then again, it’s hard to imagine what kind of practical work could have been done in the Senedd in coming weeks or even in committees where partisan point scoring is a slightly less de rigueur.

The impression to be gained by a few commentators is that Plaid should look back fondly at its time in power since the experience is unlikely to be repeated given Labour’s projected majority. Not only is such thinking more than a bit presumptuous however, it also underestimates the public’s appetite for plurality in politics and a perception that coalitions, even the ConDem variety, operate along more considered policy lines than single monolithic governments who drive through legislation regardless.   

This may be anathema from a Labour perspective, especially for those who have never really worked & played well with others (including their own group), but the fourth Assembly has a tough five years ahead. The loss of key players due to a combination of retirement and/or the ballot box will put pressure on an already very limited pool of ministerial talent.

As for the quadrennail rainbow option, and whilst it’s understandable that most observers quickly dismiss the possibility in light of present poll standings, a four week campaign could raise a few interesting scenarios – especially if Welsh Lib Dems and Conservatives are seen to be lip-synching the same chorus, if not reading from an actual hymn sheet.

One safe prediction, whatever the outcome and regardless of composition, is that a new government of Wales, equipped with streamlined law-making powers, will take up office to find itself presiding over an underperforming economy along with a culture of mediocre service delivery in a public sector which desperately needs someone to lead by example.

The key question is not so much whether a new administration can address this shortcoming but whether they are willing to acknowledge its existence. If they can demonstrate that single quality then they can take themselves seriously with some justification.